Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.160628 0.181141 0.202712 0.227034 0.253639 0.281805 0.313823
2025-03-30 0.132304 0.159812 0.190291 0.226382 0.267762 0.313530 0.367780
2025-04-06 0.111833 0.143532 0.180289 0.225671 0.279779 0.341801 0.417823
2025-04-13 0.095989 0.130259 0.171674 0.224740 0.290209 0.367590 0.465160
2025-04-20 0.085060 0.121437 0.167064 0.227479 0.304261 0.397431 0.517753
2025-04-27 0.077570 0.115970 0.165773 0.233663 0.322209 0.432112 0.576965
2025-05-04 0.069407 0.108602 0.161126 0.234759 0.333191 0.457988 0.625619
2025-05-11 0.063969 0.104329 0.160036 0.240099 0.349469 0.490719 0.683572
2025-05-18 0.059523 0.100950 0.159731 0.246176 0.366625 0.524804 0.743960
2025-05-25 0.053360 0.094370 0.154288 0.244561 0.372947 0.544472 0.785697
2025-06-01 0.048336 0.088998 0.150090 0.244244 0.380733 0.565997 0.830136
2025-06-08 0.043660 0.083689 0.145516 0.242942 0.386808 0.585081 0.871481
2025-06-15 0.040889 0.081327 0.145380 0.248351 0.402936 0.618871 0.934382
2025-06-22 0.037129 0.076914 0.141688 0.248092 0.410671 0.641041 0.981744
2025-06-29 0.033714 0.072739 0.138028 0.247569 0.417827 0.662421 1.028372
2025-07-06 0.030593 0.068752 0.134343 0.246699 0.424266 0.682772 1.073863
2025-07-13 0.028476 0.066400 0.133189 0.249724 0.436614 0.711872 1.132348
2025-07-20 0.027158 0.065437 0.134308 0.256428 0.454776 0.749848 1.204344
2025-07-27 0.025081 0.062755 0.132213 0.257632 0.464260 0.775101 1.258306
2025-08-03 0.023855 0.061666 0.132852 0.263397 0.481071 0.811608 1.329398
2025-08-10 0.022826 0.060877 0.133959 0.269948 0.499272 0.850555 1.404783
2025-08-17 0.020786 0.057699 0.130409 0.268213 0.503888 0.868836 1.449730
2025-08-24 0.019102 0.055107 0.127764 0.267875 0.510681 0.890496 1.500029